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Big dry locked in for some as major rain flirts nearby

Fuseworks Media
Fuseworks Media

NZ is fast drying out and the big dry is now becoming much more concerning for some with long range forecasts suggesting little to no rain may be coming for those who need it the most over the next 10 days.

Central New Zealand, which as the Upper South Island and Lower North Island remains trapped in a bubble of dry weather. Even a cold front tonight will be decimated as it climbs over the Southern Alps and into Nelson, perhaps only bringing a few brief light showers overnight.

Going long range and as you can see the tropics are full of energy but there is an incredibly fine line, a 50/50 line, between that heavy tropical rain and almost nothing at all. This means while very heavy rain may be just nearby, a narrow slither of high pressure will remain over NZ keeping many places very dry.

Further north in very dry regions like Northland this tropical energy should bring some relief. Auckland looks more 50/50 and Waikato looks even more on the edge of getting much needed rain - or perhaps very little at all. All eyes this week will be on the high near Tasmania and how much it might stop (or allow) the tropical rainmaker to head south.


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