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Tropical Cyclone Wilma formed last night east of Samoa and long range computer models show the remnants of the cyclone are likely to pass northern New Zealand towards the end of this coming working week.
Wilma was one of two new cyclones that formed over the weekend in the south-west Pacific as the La Nina enhanced cyclone season gets fully underway.
To the north east of Australia category one cyclone "Anthony" has formed. The cyclone will be of huge concern for Queenslanders despite the initial tracking showing the tropical storm moving away from the coastline and heading out into the Coral Sea.
WeatherWatch.co.nz says that once Anthony moves into the central Coral Sea it could well deepen further with future computer models showing the cyclone doing a u-turn on Wednesday and taking aim on the Queensland coast as a stronger system by the end of the week.
However it's Wilma that may end up reaching New Zealand, although it's certainly still early days. Wilma will tomorrow (Monday) cross American Samoa as a category 1 or 2 cyclone.
The long range maps have been picking for several days now that a cyclone would form north east of New Zealand and then track south west towards the upper North Island by Friday or Saturday.
Weather data used by WeatherWatch.co.nz currently predicts a 60% chance of rain for Auckland this Saturday, which is high considering how far out the system still is, however WeatherWatch.co.nz forecasters stress it's still too early to know if Wilma will have any serious impact on NZ.
Those with interests in northern New Zealand should monitor its progress, particularly in the wake of Sunday's deluge.
Wilma is currently category 1 status with sustained winds at 65km/h but the Fiji Meteorological Service says the sustained winds will rise closer to 100km/h by midnight tonight.
The Fiji Meteorological Service says the cyclone will pass directly over Pago Pago, American Samoa, Monday morning NZT.
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